MUHAMMAD, CHANDRA GUNAWAN (2026) ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMENGARUHI KEMISKINAN TINGKAT KABUPATEN DI PULAU SUMATERA TAHUN 2015–2025. FAKULTAS EKONOMI DAN BISNIS , UNIVERSITAS LAMPUNG.
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Abstract
Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis pengaruh pendidikan, pekerja sektor pertanian, pengeluaran per kapita makanan, dan akses air minum layak terhadap tingkat kemiskinan kabupaten di Pulau Sumatera periode 2015–2025. Data sekunder Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) pada 120 kabupaten dianalisis menggunakan regresi data panel Fixed Effect Model (FEM) yang diestimasi dengan Panel Estimated Generalized Least Squares (EGLS) berbobot antarseksi dan koreksi Panel Corrected Standard Errors (PCSE) guna menghasilkan inferensi yang robust terhadap heteroskedastisitas antarseksi dan autokorelasi serial. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa pendidikan (X1) berpengaruh negatif, pekerja sektor pertanian (X2) berpengaruh positif, pengeluaran per kapita makanan (X3) berpengaruh negatif, dan akses air minum layak (X4) berpengaruh negatif terhadap tingkat kemiskinan. Seluruh hipotesis didukung secara empiris dengan nilai Adjusted Rsquared sebesar 0,9623. Penelitian ini menyimpulkan bahwa kualitas sumber daya manusia dan akses infrastruktur dasar merupakan faktor utama penurunan kemiskinan di kabupaten Pulau Sumater. Kata kunci: air minum layak, kemiskinan, pekerja sektor pertanian, pendidikan, pengeluaran perkapita makanan. This study analyzes the effects of education, agricultural sector employment, per capita food expenditure, and access to safe drinking water on poverty at the regency level in Sumatra Island, 2015–2025. Secondary data from Statistics Indonesia (BPS) covering 120 regencies were analyzed using panel data regression with the Fixed Effect Model (FEM), estimated via Panel Estimated Generalized Least Squares (EGLS) with cross-section weights and Panel Corrected Standard Errors (PCSE) correction to ensure robust inference under cross-sectional heteroskedasticity and serial autocorrelation. Results show that education (X1) has a negative effect, agricultural employment (X2) a positive effect, per capita food expenditure (X3) a negative effect, and access to safe drinking water (X4) a negative effect on poverty. All hypotheses are empirically supported, with an Adjusted Rsquared of 0.9623. This study concludes that human capital quality and access to basic infrastructure are the primary drivers of poverty reduction at the regency level in Sumatra Island. Keywords: safe drinking water, poverty, agricultural sector employment, education, per capita food expenditure.
| Item Type: | Other |
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| Subjects: | ?? 330 ?? |
| Divisions: | Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > Prodi Ekonomi Pembangunan |
| Depositing User: | 2606675535 Digilib |
| Date Deposited: | 09 Jul 2026 02:21 |
| Last Modified: | 09 Jul 2026 02:21 |
| URI: | http://digilib.unila.ac.id/id/eprint/102251 |
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