ANALISIS FLUKTUASI CADANGAN DEVISA DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2005Q1 – 2014Q4

SUCI YUNITA FUTRI , 1111021110 (2016) ANALISIS FLUKTUASI CADANGAN DEVISA DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2005Q1 – 2014Q4. FAKULTAS EKONOMI DAN BISNIS, UNIVERSITAS LAMPUNG.

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Abstrak

ABSTRAK Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis fluktuasi cadangan devisa di Indonesia. Variabel bebas yang digunakan adalah Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), utang luar negeri, net ekspor, pembayaran utang luar negeri dan cadangan devisa periode sebelumnya. Penelitian ini menggunakan data time series periode Januari 2005 sampai Desember 2014. Analisis yang dilakukan adalah analisis deskripsi kuantitatif pada analisis jangka pendek dan jangka panjang. Alat analisisyang digunakan adalah Error Correction Model (ECM) untuk analisis jangka pendek dan regresi linear berganda dengan metode Ordinary Least Square (OLS) untuk jangka panjang. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka pendek dan jangka panjang, FDI tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap fluktuasi cadangan devisa di Indonesia. Sedangkan utang luar negeri, net ekspor, pembayaran utang luar negeri dan cadangan devisa periode sebelumnya berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap fluktuasi cadangan devisa di Indonesia Kata kunci: Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Utang Luar Negeri, Net Ekspor, Pembayaran Utang Luar Negeri Dan Cadangan Devisa Periode Sebelumnya, Error Correction Model (ECM). ABSTRACT This study aim to analyze the fluctuations in foreign exchange reserves in Indonesia. The independent variable used is Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), foreign debt, net exports, foreign debt and foreign exchange reserves of the previous period. This study uses time series data in the period January 2005 to December 2014. The analysis is quantitative descriptive on short-term and longterm. The analytical tool used is the Error Correction Model (ECM) for a shortterm analysis and multiple linear regression by Ordinary Least Square’s method (OLS) for the long term. The results indicates that in the short term and long term, FDI has no significant effect on the fluctuation of foreign exchange reserves in Indonesia. While the foreign debt, net exports, foreign debt payments and foreign exchange reserves prior period give positive and significant effect to the fluctuation of foreign exchange reserves in Indonesia. Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Foreign Debt, Net Exports, Foreign Debt Payments and Foreign Exchange Reserves of Prior Period, Error Correction Model (ECM).

Tipe Karya Ilmiah: Skripsi
Subyek: H Ilmu Sosial = Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Program Studi: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > Prodi Ekonomi Pembangunan
Depositing User: 6768959 . Digilib
Date Deposited: 01 Feb 2016 08:14
Last Modified: 01 Feb 2016 08:14
URI: http://digilib.unila.ac.id/id/eprint/20785

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