DINA ARIYANTI, 1011021057 (2014) ANALISIS PENGARUH PERUBAHAN KERANGKA KEBIJAKAN MONETER TERHADAP KONSUMSI DAN INFLASI DI INDONESIA (Periode 2001:01-2005:06 dan 2005:07-2013:12). Fakultas ekonomi dan bisnis, Universitas Lampung.
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Abstract
ABSTRAK INDONESIA Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk mengetahui pengaruh perubahan kerangka kebijakan moneter dari kerangka kebijakan moneter Monetary base targeting menjadi kerangka kebijakan moneter Inflation targeting. Hasil analisis menggunakan Ordinary Least Square menunjukkan bahwa pada Periode Monetary base targeting menggunakan sasaran moneter uang primer berpengaruh positif terhadap konsumsi, dan uang primer berpengaruh negatif terhadap inflasi, lalu melalui jalur suku bunga kredit konsumsi berpengaruh negatif terhadap konsumsi dan inflasi di Indonesia. Pada kerangka kebijakan moneter Periode Inflation targeting menggunakan sasaran moneter Bi Rate berpengaruh negatif terhadap konsumsi, dan Bi Rate berpengaruh positif terhadap inflasi, lalu melalui jalur suku bunga kredit konsumsi berpengaruh negatif terhadap konsumsi dan inflasi di Indonesia. Dari R-squared kedua persamaan, terlihat bahwa R-squared Periode Inflation targeting lebih besar dibandingkan Periode Monetary base targeting. Kata Kunci : Kerangka Kebijakan Moneter, Uang Primer, Bi Rate, Suku Bunga Kredit Konsumsi, Ordinary Least Square. ABSTRAK INGGRIS This study was conducted to determine the effect of changes in the monetary policy framework of the monetary policy framework of the monetary base monetary policy framework become Inflation targeting framework. The results of the analysis using the Ordinary Least Square shows that the period of the monetary base monetary targeting base money targets using a positive effect on consumption, and negatively affect the base money inflation, then through lines consumer credit interest rates negatively affect consumption and inflation in Indonesia. On the monetary policy framework Period inflation targeting using monetary targets Bi Rate negatively affect consumption, and Bi Rate positive effect on the inflation rate, then the interest rate of credit through the consumption negatively affect consumption and inflation in Indonesia. Of R-squared The second equation shows that the R-squared Period Inflation targeting larger than the period of the monetary base targeting. Keywords: Framework for Monetary Policy, Base Money, Bi Rate, Interest Rate, Consumption, Ordinary Least Square.
| Item Type: | Other |
|---|---|
| Subjects: | A General Works = Karya Karya Umum |
| Divisions: | Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > Prodi Ekonomi Pembangunan |
| Depositing User: | UPT Perpustakaan Unila |
| Date Deposited: | 23 Oct 2014 02:47 |
| Last Modified: | 23 Oct 2014 02:47 |
| URI: | http://digilib.unila.ac.id/id/eprint/4563 |
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