ANALISIS DAYA SAING DAN KINERJA EKSPOR MINYAK KELAPA SAWIT INDONESIA

MARIA ULFAH, 1524021003 (2019) ANALISIS DAYA SAING DAN KINERJA EKSPOR MINYAK KELAPA SAWIT INDONESIA. Masters thesis, Universitas Lampung.

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Abstrak

This study aims to analyze: (1) the competitiveness of Indonesian palm oil among competing countries; (2) the performance of Indonesian palm oil exports in the international market; (3) and the factors that affect the volume of exports of Indonesian palm oil to the international market. The Indonesian palm oil studied consist of CPO (Crude Palm Oil) and OPO (Other Palm Oil). The analytical methods used are (1) Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) index and Trade Specialization Index (ISP); (2) Constant Market Share (CMS), and (3) Error Correction Model (ECM) analysis. The results of the RCA analysis indicate that the level of competitiveness of Indonesian CPO was the highest among countries in Malaysia, Colombia and Thailand. Indonesia's OPO power level was the second highest after Malaysia. The trade specialization index shows that Indonesian CPO was at the stage of net exporters and Indonesia's OPO was at the stage of expanding exports. The results of the CMS analysis show that the performance of Indonesian CPO exports in the international market tends to decline compared to the growth of exports of all world products. While the performance of Indonesia's OPO exports in the international market tends to increase compared to the growth of exports of all world products. Estimation results of ECM analysis on the appearance of Indonesian CPO exports to India show that in the long term and short term changes in international prices of palm oil, Indian GDP, Indonesian RCA CPO values, and export taxes affect the changes in the volume of Indonesian CPO exports to India. The estimation of the appearance of Indonesian CPO exports to the Netherlands shows that in the long run the changes in Indonesian palm oil production, the international price of palm oil, and the value of RCA CPO influence the change in the volume of Indonesian CPO exports to the Netherlands. In the short term, changes in Indonesian palm oil production, international prices of soybean oil, international prices of palm oil, Dutch GDP, and the value of RCA CPO have an effect on changes in the volume of Indonesian CPO exports to the Netherlands. Keywords: CPO, competitiveness, ECM, export performance Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk : (1) menganalisis daya saing minyak kelapa sawit Indonesia diantara negara pesaing; (2) menganalisis kinerja ekspor minyak kelapa sawit Indonesia di pasar Internasional; (3) dan menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi volume ekspor minyak kelapa sawit Indonesia ke pasar Internasional. Minyak kelapa sawit Indonesia yang diteliti terdiri dari CPO (Crude Palm Oil) dan OPO (Other Palm Oil). Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah (1) indeks Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) dan Indeks Spesialisasi Perdagangan (ISP); (2) Constant Market Share (CMS), dan (3) analisis Error Correction Model (ECM). Hasil analisis RCA menunjukkan bahwa tingkat daya saing CPO Indonesia merupakan yang tertinggi diantara negara Malaysia, Colombia, dan Thailand. Tingkat daya OPO Indonesia merupakan tertinggi kedua setelah Malaysia. Indeks spesialisasi perdagangan menunjukkan bahwa CPO Indonesia berada pada tahap net eksportir dan OPO Indonesia berada pada tahap perluasan ekspor. Hasil analisis CMS menunjukkan bahwa kinerja ekspor CPO Indonesia di pasar Internasional cenderung menurun dibandingkan dengan pertumbuhan ekspor seluruh produk dunia. Sedangkan kinerja ekspor OPO Indonesia di pasar Internasional cenderung meningkat dibandingkan dengan pertumbuhan ekspor seluruh produk dunia. Hasil estimasi analisis ECM terhadap penampilan ekspor CPO Indonesia ke India menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka panjang dan jangka pendek perubahan harga internasional minyak sawit, GDP India, nilai RCA CPO Indonesia, dan pajak ekspor berpengaruh terhadap perubahan volume ekspor CPO Indonesia ke India. Hasil estimasi penampilan ekspor CPO Indonesia ke Belanda menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka panjang perubahan produksi minyak sawit Indonesia, harga internasional minyak sawit, dan nilai RCA CPO berpengaruh terhadap perubahan volume ekspor CPO Indonesia ke Belanda. Dalam jangka pendek, perubahan produksi minyak sawit Indonesia, harga internasional minyak kedelai, harga internasional min yak sawit, GDP Belanda, dan nilai RCA CPO berpengaruh terhadap perubahan volume ekspor CPO Indonesia ke Belanda. Kata Kunci: CPO, daya saing, ECM, kinerja ekspor

Jenis Karya Akhir: Tesis (Masters)
Subyek: 600 Teknologi (ilmu terapan) > 630 Pertanian dan teknologi yang berkaitan
Program Studi: Fakultas Pertanian > Prodi Magister Agribisnis
Pengguna Deposit: UPT Anita Ekarini
Date Deposited: 01 Apr 2022 06:06
Terakhir diubah: 01 Apr 2022 06:06
URI: http://digilib.unila.ac.id/id/eprint/57357

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