ANALISIS SALURAN SUKU BUNGA KREDIT KONSUMSI DALAM MEKANISME TRANSMISI KEBIJAKAN MONETER DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2005:07-2014:12

YULIA PUSPARINI, 0911021091 (2015) ANALISIS SALURAN SUKU BUNGA KREDIT KONSUMSI DALAM MEKANISME TRANSMISI KEBIJAKAN MONETER DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2005:07-2014:12. Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Lampung.

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Abstract

ABSTRACT ANALYSIS ON LENDING RATES CONSUMPTION CHANNEL IN TRANSMISSION MECHANISM OF MONETARY POLICY IN INDONESIA PERIOD 2005:07 – 2014:12 By YULIA PUSPARINI This study aims to determine the response of each variable consumer loan interest rate channel in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in Indonesia period 2005:07-2014:12 against shock and to determine the contribution of each variable interest rates on consumer credit channel in the monetary policy transmission mechanism in Indonesia the period 2005:07-2014: 12. Variables used in this analysis is the BI rate, deposit rates, lending rates of consumption, consumer loans, GDP, and inflation. The analysis tool used is a VAR that includes test results VAR regression, impulse response and variance decomposition. This study uses monthly time series data obtained from Bank Indonesia and a number of other publications. Based on the results of impulse response, all the variables have a positive response to the shock. Based on the results of variance decomposition, the largest contribution in influencing the BI rate is variable itself with the average percentage of 66.09422%. The largest contribution in influencing the interest rate on deposits is variable BI rate of 50.39192%. The largest contribution in influencing consumer loan interest rate is variable lending rates of consumption itself by 48.83118%. The largest contribution in influencing consumer loans are consumer loans variable itself of 41.91673%. The largest contribution to GDP is variable in influencing consumer credit amounted to 58.16217%. The largest contribution in influencing inflation is the variable BI rate of 40.90585%. Keyword : BI rate, interest rates of deposits, lending rates consumption, credit consumption, gdp, inflation, VAR ABSTRAK ANALISIS SALURAN SUKU BUNGA KREDIT KONSUMSI DALAM MEKANISME TRANSMISI KEBIJAKAN MONETER DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2005:07 – 2014:12 Oleh YULIA PUSPARINI Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui respon masing-masing variabel saluran suku bunga kredit konsumsi dalam mekanisme transmisi kebijakan moneter di Indonesia periode 2005:07-2014:12 terhadap shock dan untuk mengetahui kontribusi masing-masing variabel saluran suku bunga kredit konsumsi dalam mekanisme transmisi kebijakan moneter di Indonesia periode 2005:07-2014:12. Variabel yang digunakan dalam analisis ini adalah BI rate, suku bunga deposito, suku bunga kredit konsumsi, kredit konsumsi, GDP, dan inflasi. Alat analisis yang digunakan adalah VAR yang mencakup uji hasil regresi VAR, impulse response dan variance decomposition. Penelitian ini menggunakan data time series bulanan yang diperoleh dari Bank Indonesia dan sejumlah publikasi lainnya. Berdasarkan hasil impulse response, semua variabel memiliki respon positif terhadap shock. Berdasarkan hasil variance decomposition, kontribusi terbesar dalam mempengaruhi BI rate adalah variabel BI rate itu sendiri dengan persentase rata-rata sebesar 66,09422%. Kontribusi terbesar dalam mempengaruhi suku bunga deposito adalah variabel BI rate sebesar 50,39192%. Kontribusi terbesar dalam mempengaruhi suku bunga kredit konsumsi adalah variabel suku bunga kredit konsumsi itu sendiri sebesar 48,83118%. Kontribusi terbesar dalam mempengaruhi kredit konsumsi adalah variabel kredit konsumsi itu sendiri sebesar 41,91673%. Kontribusi terbesar dalam mempengaruhi GDP adalah variabel kredit konsumsi sebesar 58,16217%. Kontribusi terbesar dalam mempengaruhi inflasi adalah variabel BI rate sebesar 40,90585%. Kata Kunci : BI rate, suku bunga deposito, suku bunga kredit konsumsi, kredit konsumsi, GDP, inflasi, VAR

Item Type: Other
Subjects: A General Works = Karya Karya Umum
H Ilmu Sosial = Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Divisions: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > Prodi Ekonomi Pembangunan
Depositing User: 3120418 . Digilib
Date Deposited: 04 May 2015 04:40
Last Modified: 04 May 2015 04:40
URI: http://digilib.unila.ac.id/id/eprint/9647

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