<> "The repository administrator has not yet configured an RDF license."^^ . <> . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK"^^ . "ABSTRACT\r\n\r\nAutoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) is a combination of\r\nAutoregressive (AR) model and Moving Average (MA) model. The ARIMA\r\nmodel has orde (0,1,0) is called RandomWalk model. The ARIMA model using\r\npast and present value to produce short-term forecasting. The purpose of this\r\nresearch is to determine the best ARIMA model for forecasting the Consumer\r\nPrice Index (CPI) and health comodities price index Bandar Lampung city in the\r\nperiod January to June 2014. The ARIMA model has assumption that the series\r\ndata are stationary. The CPI and health comodities price index of Bandar\r\nLampung is not stationary, then we apllied differencing to make the data\r\nstationary. To find the best model ARIMA, first we check the stationary data by\r\nusing time series plot, Autocorrelation Function (ACF), and unitroot test. Then the\r\ntime series model was found by using ACF and Partial Autocorrelations Function\r\n(PACF). The best model was found by using criteria Mean Square Error (MSE),\r\nAkaike’s Information Criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC).\r\nThe best model is ARIMA (1,1,0) for CPI and ARIMA (0,1,0) for health\r\ncomodities price index.\r\nKey Word : time series, forecasting, CPI, ARIMA"^^ . "2015-05-04" . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . "FAKULTAS MATEMATIKA DAN ILMU PENGETAHUAN ALAM"^^ . . . . . . . "1117031022"^^ . "Faiga Kharimah"^^ . "1117031022 Faiga Kharimah"^^ . . . . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "ABSTRAK.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "COVER DALAM.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "LEMBAR PERSETUJUAN.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "LEMBAR PENGESAHAN.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "RIWAYAT HIDUP.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "LEMBAR PERNYATAAN.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "PERSEMBAHAN.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "MOTO.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "DAFTAR ISI.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "SANWACANA.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "DAFTAR TABEL.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "DAFTAR GAMBAR.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "BAB I.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "DAFTAR PUSTAKA.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "BAB III.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "BAB V.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (File PDF)"^^ . . . "BAB II.pdf"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (Other)"^^ . . . . . . "lightbox.jpg"^^ . . . 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"PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (Other)"^^ . . . . . . "lightbox.jpg"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (Other)"^^ . . . . . . "preview.jpg"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (Other)"^^ . . . . . . "medium.jpg"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (Other)"^^ . . . . . . "small.jpg"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (Other)"^^ . . . . . . "lightbox.jpg"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (Other)"^^ . . . . . . "preview.jpg"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (Other)"^^ . . . . . . "medium.jpg"^^ . . . "PEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN\r\nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE\r\nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK (Other)"^^ . . . . . . "small.jpg"^^ . . "HTML Summary of #10421 \n\nPEMODELAN TIME SERIES DAN PERAMALAN \nMENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE \nMOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DAN RANDOM WALK\n\n" . "text/html" . . . "QA Mathematics"@en . .