?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.title=%0D%0APERAMALAN+DATA+DERET+BERKALA+MENGGUNAKAN+METODE+PEMULUSAN+EKSPONENSIAL+TRIPLE%0D%0A&rft.creator=Sella+Nofriska+Sudrimo%2C+1217031060&rft.subject=+&rft.subject=QA+Mathematics&rft.description=Tujuan+dari+penelitian+ini+adalah+menentukan+model+deret+waktu+terbaik+untuk+meramalkan+jumlah+penumpang+di+Bandara+Juanda+dengan+metode+pemulusan+eksponensial+triple.+Langkah+pertama+adalah+menguji+asumsi+kestasioneran+data+dengan+grafik+ACF+dan+uji+akar+unit%2C+asumsi+trend+dengan+grafik+deret+waktu+dan+uji+akar+unit+dan+asumsi+musiman+dengan+menggunakan+grafik+deret+waktu+serta+indeks+musiman.+Model+terbaik+untuk+meramalkan+jumlah+penumpang+di+Bandara+Juanda+adalah+yang+memiliki+nilai+Mean+Absolute+Persentage+Error+(MAPE)+dan+Mean+Absolute+Deviation+(MAD)+terkecil%0D%0A%0D%0AHasil+penelitian+menunjukkan+bahwa+jumlah+penumpang+di+Bandara+Juanda+sangat+dipengaruhi+oleh+pengaruh+musiman+dan+kurang+dipengaruhi+oleh+pengaruh+trend.%0D%0A%0D%0AKata+kunci%3A+Metode+pemulusan+eksponensial+triple%2C+MAPE+(Mean+Absolute+Percentage+Error)%2C+MAD+(Mean+Absolute+Deviation)%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0Aabstrak+bahasa+inggris%0D%0A%0D%0AThe+aim+of+this+study+is+determined+the+best+time+series+model+to+predict+the+number+of+passengers+at+Juanda+Airport+with+a+triple+exponential+smoothing+method.+The+first+step+is+to+test+the+assuming+stationer+the+data+with+graphs+ACF+and+the+unit+root+test%2C+assuming+trends+with+graphs+time+series+and+unit+root+test+and+then+seasonal+assumptions+using+time+series+charts+and+seasonal+index.+The+best+predicts+of+passengers+at+Juanda+Airport+is+measured+by+the+smallest+value+of+Mean+Absolute+Percentage+Error+(MAPE)+and+Mean+Absolute+Deviation+(MAD).%0D%0A%0D%0AThe+results+showed+that+the+number+of+passengers+at+Juanda+Airport+is+most+affected+by+seasonal+influences+and+less+affected+by+the+influence+of+the+trend.%0D%0A%0D%0AKeywords+%3A+Triple+exponential+smoothing+method%2C+MAPE+(+Mean+Absolute+Percentage+Error+)%2C+MAD+(+Mean+Absolute+Deviation+).+++%0D%0A&rft.publisher=FAKULTAS+MATEMATIKA+DAN+ILMU+PENGETAHUAN+ALAM&rft.date=2016-04-20&rft.type=Skripsi&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F22265%2F1%2FABSTRACT%2520%2528ABSTRAK%2529.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F22265%2F19%2FSKRIPSI%2520FULL.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F22265%2F20%2FSKRIPSI%2520TANPA%2520BAB%2520PEMBAHASAN.pdf&rft.identifier=++Sella+Nofriska+Sudrimo%2C+1217031060++(2016)++PERAMALAN+DATA+DERET+BERKALA+MENGGUNAKAN+METODE+PEMULUSAN+EKSPONENSIAL+TRIPLE.++FAKULTAS+MATEMATIKA+DAN+ILMU+PENGETAHUAN+ALAM%2C+UNIVERSITAS+LAMPUNG.+++++&rft.relation=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F22265%2F