?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.title=PEMBANDINGAN+METODE+PENGHALUSAN+EKSPONENSIAL%0D%0AHOLT-WINTERS+DENGAN+METODE+BOX-JENKINS%0D%0APADA+PERAMALAN+DATA+DERET+WAKTU+MUSIMAN&rft.creator=SRI+WAHYU+PUJI+ASTUTI%2C++1217031066&rft.subject=+&rft.subject=QA+Mathematics&rft.description=ABSTRAK%0D%0ATujuan+dari+penelitian+ini+adalah+menentukan+metode+terbaik+untuk+meramalkan%0D%0Ajumlah+penumpang+di+bandara+Soekarno+Hatta+dengan+menggunakan+metode%0D%0Apenghalusan+eksponensial+Holt-Winters+dan+Box-Jenkins+serta+mengetahui%0D%0Aperbandingan+hasil+peramalan+dengan+kedua+metode+tersebut.%0D%0AHasil+penelitian+menunjukkan+bahwa+peramalan+jumlah+penumpang+di+bandara%0D%0ASoekarno+Hatta+menggunakan+metode+penghalusan+eksponensial+Holt-Winters%0D%0Alebih+layak+digunakan+dibandingkan+dengan+menggunakan+metode+Box-Jenkins.%0D%0AKata+kunci%3A+Metode+Peramalan%2C+Deret+Waktu+Musiman%2C+Metode+Penghalusan%0D%0AEksponensial+Holt-Winters%2C+Metode+Box-Jenkins.%0D%0AABSTRACT%0D%0AThe+aim+of+this+study+is+to+determine+the+best+method+to+predict+the+number+of%0D%0Apassengers+at+Soekarno+Hatta+airport+by+using+Holt-Winters+eksponential%0D%0Asmoothing+method+and+Box-Jenkins+method+and+compare+the+results+with+both%0D%0Amethods+of+forecasting.%0D%0AThe+results+showed+that+forecasting+the+number+of+passengers+at+Soekarno+Hatta%0D%0Aairport+using+Holt-winters+exponential+smoothing+method+more+feasible+than%0D%0Ausing+Box-Jenkins+method.%0D%0AKey+words%3A+Method+of+Forcasting%2C+Seasonal+Time+Series%2C+Holt-Winters%0D%0AExponential+Smoothing+Method%2C+Box-Jenkins+Method.&rft.publisher=FAKULTAS+MATEMATIKA+DAN+ILMU+PENGETAHUAN+ALAM&rft.date=2016-06-22&rft.type=Skripsi&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F22997%2F1%2FABSTRACT%2520%2520%2528ABSTRAK%2529.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F22997%2F20%2FSKRIPSI%2520FULL.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F22997%2F19%2FSKRIPSI%2520TANPA%2520BAB%2520PEMBAHASAN.pdf&rft.identifier=++SRI+WAHYU+PUJI+ASTUTI%2C+1217031066++(2016)+PEMBANDINGAN+METODE+PENGHALUSAN+EKSPONENSIAL+HOLT-WINTERS+DENGAN+METODE+BOX-JENKINS+PADA+PERAMALAN+DATA+DERET+WAKTU+MUSIMAN.++FAKULTAS+MATEMATIKA+DAN+ILMU+PENGETAHUAN+ALAM%2C+UNIVERSITAS+LAMPUNG.+++++&rft.relation=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F22997%2F