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<http://digilib.unila.ac.id/id/eprint/24176> <http://purl.org/dc/terms/title> "ANALISIS DEFISIT KEMBAR DI INDONESIA\r\n(PERIODE 1990 – 2014)"^^<http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#string> .
<http://digilib.unila.ac.id/id/eprint/24176> <http://purl.org/ontology/bibo/abstract> "Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui dan menganalisis pengaruh\r\nvariabel neraca transaksi berjalan, nilai tukar, dan inflasi terhadap defisit anggaran\r\ndalam jangka pendek. Variabel dalam penelitian ini adalah defisit anggaran,\r\nneraca transaksi berjalan, nilai tukar, dan inflasi. Data yang digunakan adalah data\r\ntime-series dengan periode penelitian 1900 sampai 2014. Analisis yang\r\ndigunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah metode analisis deskriptif kuantitatif\r\ndengan menggunakan model ECM.\r\nUntuk melihat pengaruh antara satu variabel dependen dengan variabel\r\nindependen dilakukan dengan menggunakan metode Error Correction Model\r\n(ECM). Hasil estimasi menggunakan metode ECM menunjukkan bahwa dalam\r\njangka pendek variabel bebas secara bersama-sama signifikan terhadap defisit\r\nanggaran. Secara parsial variabel neraca transaksi berjalan dan inflasi berpengaruh\r\nsignifikan, sedangkan nilai tukar tidak signifikan. Dan semua variabel tersebut\r\nmempunyai dampak yang begitu besar dalam terjadinya defisit kembar di\r\nIndonesia.\r\nKata Kunci : Defisit Kembar, Defisit Anggaran, Defisit Neraca Transaksi\r\nBerjalan, Nilai Tukar, Inflasi, Error Correction Model (ECM).\r\n\r\nABSTRACT\r\n\r\nThis research aims to know and analyze the influence of current account,\r\nexchange rate, and inflation variable toward budget defisit. Variables in this\r\nresearch are the budget deficit, current account, exchange rate, and inflation. Data\r\nused in this research was time-series data in research periode of 1990-2014. Data\r\nanalysis method used in this research was descriptive quantitative analysis method\r\nby using ECM models.\r\nThe methode used to see the influence between dependent variable and\r\nindependent variables was error correction Model ( ECM ). Result of the\r\nestimation by using three research models with ECM method shows that in the\r\nshort-term, independent variable together significant to budget deficit. Partialy,\r\ncurrent account and inflation significantly affect, and exchange rate does not\r\nsignificantly affect. And all of the variable have big impact to twin deficit in\r\nIndonesia occurance.\r\nKey words : Twin Deficit, Budget Deficit, Current Account Deficit\r\nExchange Rate, Inflation, Error Correction Model (ECM)."^^<http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#string> .
<http://digilib.unila.ac.id/id/eprint/24176> <http://purl.org/dc/terms/date> "2016-09-10" .
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