?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.title=PROYEKSI+STOKASTIK+PRODUKSI+KEDELAI+DI+INDONESIA&rft.creator=YURLIA+PITASARI+%2C+1214131117&rft.subject=HB+Economic+Theory&rft.subject=Budidaya+tanaman&rft.description=Kedelai+adalah+salah+satu+sumber+pangan+protein+nabati.+Begitu+pentingnya%0D%0Akomoditas+ini+pemerintah+menargetkan+swasembada.+Produksi+kedelai+yang%0D%0Aditargetkan+oleh+pemerintah+pada+2019+yaitu+3%2C00+juta+ton%2C+yakni+tiga+kali+lipat%0D%0Alebih+dari+produksi+kedelai+pada+2015.+Suatu+target+produksi+sebaiknya%0D%0Adiproyeksikan+secara+stokastik+yang+hasilnya+berupa+selang+proyeksi+pada+tingkat%0D%0Apeluang+tertentu.+Ada+beberapa+studi+sebelumnya+yang+bertujuan+untuk%0D%0Amelakukan+proyeksi+produksi+kedelai.+Namun+demikian%2C+hasil+proyeksinya+tidak%0D%0Aberupa+selang.+Oleh+sebab+itu%2C+penelitian+ini+bertujuan+untuk+memproyeksikan%0D%0Aproduksi+kedelai+secara+stokastik.+Penelitian+ini+menggunakan+data+runtun+waktu%0D%0Ayang+bersumber+dari+FAO+dan+BPS.+Data+diolah+menggunakan+metode%0D%0Aekonometrika.+Hasil+proyeksi+produksi+kedelai+untuk+2019+yaitu+0%2C99+juta+ton%0D%0Adengan+selang+kepercayaan+(95%25)+antara+0%2C94+dan+1%2C05+juta+ton.%0D%0AKata+kunci+%3A+Kedelai%2C+produksi%2C+proyeksi%0D%0A%0D%0Aabstract%0D%0A%0D%0ASoybean+is+one+of+vegetable+protein+sources.+It+is+so+important+that+the%0D%0Agovernment+targets+self-sufficiency+on+this+commodity.+Its+target+is+3.00+million%0D%0Atons+in+2019%2C+i.e.+more+than+three+times+of+the+production+in+2015.+A+production%0D%0Atarget+is+better+stochastically+forecasted+that+its+result+is+an+interval+at+a+certain%0D%0Aprobability+level.+There+were+some+studies+that+forecasted+productions+of+soybean.%0D%0AHowever%2C+their+results+were+not+as+the+intervals.+Therefore%2C+the+objective+of+this%0D%0Aresearch+is+for+stochastically+forecasting+the+soybean+production.+Its+data+are+time%0D%0Aseries+data+obtained+from+the+FAO+and+the+Indonesian+Statistics+Central+Bureau.%0D%0AData+were+analyzed+by+using+econometrics.+The+result+of+forecasting+is+the%0D%0Asoybean+production+will+be+0.99+million+tons+in+2019+with+the+95%25+confidence%0D%0Ainterval+between+0.94+and+1.05+million+tons.%0D%0AKey+words%3A+Soybean%2C+production%2C+forecast&rft.publisher=FAKULTAS+PERTANIAN&rft.date=2017-12-29&rft.type=Skripsi&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F30641%2F1%2FABSTRACT%2520%2528ABSTRAK%2529.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F30641%2F2%2FSKRIPSI%2520FULL.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F30641%2F3%2FSKRIPSI%2520TANPA%2520BAB%2520PEMBAHASAN.pdf&rft.identifier=++YURLIA+PITASARI+%2C+1214131117++(2017)+PROYEKSI+STOKASTIK+PRODUKSI+KEDELAI+DI+INDONESIA.++FAKULTAS+PERTANIAN%2C++UNIVERSITAS+LAMPUNG.+++++&rft.relation=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F30641%2F