?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.title=PEMODELAN+MATEMATIKA+PERTUMBUHAN+PENDUDUK+KOTA+BANDAR+LAMPUNG%0D%0A&rft.creator=MUSA+AL+AS%E2%80%99ARI+FADJAR+PAMUNGKAS%2C+1317031054&rft.subject=QA+Mathematics&rft.description=Penelitian+ini+bertujuan+untuk+melakukan+proyeksi+jumlah+penduduk+Kota+Bandar+Lampung+tahun+2017+%E2%80%93+2030+melalui+pendekatan+pemodelan+matematika.+Model+matematika+yang+digunakan+yaitu+model+regresi+linear+sederhana%2C+model+eksponensial%2C+model+logistik+dan+model+transisi+demografis.+Aproksimasi+terbaik+dipilih+berdasarkan+nilai+Mean+Absolute+Percentage+Error+(MAPE)+terendah+dari+keempat+model+dibandingkan+dengan+data+sebenarnya.+Dengan+menggunakan+data+jumlah+penduduk+dari+tahun+1995+%E2%80%93+2011%2C+hasil+penelitian+menunjukkan+bahwa+model+yang+memiliki+MAPE+terkecil+adalah+model+eksponensial.+Sedangkan+MAPE+yang+terbesar+adalah+model+transisi+demografis.+Proses+validasi+dilakukan+menggunakan+data+jumlah+penduduk+dari+tahun+2012+%E2%80%93+2016.+Hasil+validasi+menunjukkan+bahwa+model+yang+terbaik+yang+dapat+digunakan+untuk+proyeksi+jumlah+penduduk+adalah+model+eksponensial.+Prediksi+jumlah+penduduk+Kota+Bandar+Lampung+pada+sensus+penduduk+2030+berdasarkan+hasil+model+eksponensial+yaitu+sebesar+1.216.816+jiwa.%0D%0A%0D%0AKata+Kunci%3A+Proyeksi+Penduduk%2C+Model+Regresi+Linear+Sederhana%2C+Model+Eksponensial%2C+Model+Logistik%2C+Model+Transisi+Demografis%2C+MAPE%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0AABSTRACT%0D%0A%0D%0AThis+research+aims+to+do+projection+on+the+population+of+Bandar+Lampung+City+in+2017+%E2%80%93+2030+through+a+mathematical+modeling+approach.+The+mathematical+model+that+will+be+used+is+simple+linear+regression+model%2C+exponential+model%2C+logistic+model+and+demographic+transition+model.+The+best+approximation+is+chosen+based+on+the+lowest+Mean+Absolute+Percentage+Error+(MAPE)+value+of+the+four+models+compared+to+the+actual+data.+By+using+population+data+from+1995+%E2%80%93+2011%2C+the+research+result+shows+the+models+that+have+the+smallest+MAPE+are+exponential+models.+Than%2C+the+largest+MAPE+is+demographic+transition+model.+The+validation+process+was+done+using+population+data+from+2012+%E2%80%93+2016.+The+validation+result+showed+that+the+best+model+that+could+be+used+for+projecting+the+population+was+on+exponential+model.+The+Bandar+Lampung+City%E2%80%99s+population+prediction+on+2030+census+based+on+the+exponential+model+is+1.216.816+people.%0D%0A%0D%0AKeywords%3A+Population+Projection%2C+Simple+Linear+Regression+Model%2C+Exponential+Model%2C+Logistic+Model%2C+Demographic+Transition+Model%2C+MAPE&rft.publisher=UNIVERSITAS+LAMPUNG&rft.date=2018-07-16&rft.type=Skripsi&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F32508%2F1%2FABSTRAK.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F32508%2F3%2FSKRIPSI%2520FULL.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F32508%2F2%2FSKRIPSI%2520TANPA%2520BAB%2520PEMBAHASAN.pdf&rft.identifier=++MUSA+AL+AS%E2%80%99ARI+FADJAR+PAMUNGKAS%2C+1317031054++(2018)+PEMODELAN+MATEMATIKA+PERTUMBUHAN+PENDUDUK+KOTA+BANDAR+LAMPUNG.++UNIVERSITAS+LAMPUNG%2C+FAKULTAS+MATEMATIKA+DAN+ILMU+PENGETAHUAN+ALAM.+++++&rft.relation=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F32508%2F