?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.title=NILAI+TUKAR+DAN+TRADE+BALANCE+INDONESIA%0D%0A(Implementasi+Teori+Marshall-Lerner+dan+Fenomena+J-curve)&rft.creator=SHAULA+RIZKY+SARLITA%2C+1511021017&rft.subject=HC+Economic+History+and+Conditions&rft.description=Penelitian+ini+bertujuan+untuk+menganalisa+pengaruh+nilai+tukar+terhadap+trade%0D%0Abalance+dan+untuk+menganalisa+apakah+fluktuasi+nilai+tukar+akan+mempengaruhi%0D%0Akinerja+trade+balance+di+Indonesia.+Penelitian+ini+menggunakan+data+time+series%0D%0Atriwulan+studi+kasus+negara+pada+kurun+waktu+17+tahun+pada+tiga+mitra+dagang%0D%0Autama%2C+yaitu+Jepang%2C+Amerika+Serikat+(AS)+dan+China+dengan+metode+Vector%0D%0AError+Correction+Model+(VECM).+Hasil+penelitian+menunjukkan+bahwa+(i)+pada%0D%0Ajangka+pendek+dan+jangka+panjang%2C+nilai+tukar+riil+efektif+(REER)+berhubungan%0D%0Apositif+dan+signifikan+terhadap+trade+balance+Indonesia+bilateral+dengan+Jepang%0D%0Adan+China.+Sedangkan%2C+REER+berhubungan+negatif+dan+signifikan+terhadap+trade%0D%0Abalance+Indonesia+bilateral+dengan+Amerika+Serikat+pada+jangka+panjang.+(ii)%0D%0AKondisi+Marshall-Lerner+terjadi+pada+trade+balance+bilateral+Indonesia+dengan%0D%0AJepang%2C+Amerika+Serikat+dan+China.+Sedangkan%2C+fenomena+J-curve+hanya+terlihat%0D%0Apada+trade+balance+Indonesia+dengan+Amerika+Serikat.%0D%0AKata+kunci%3A+J-curve%2C+Marshall-Lerner%2C+Nilai+tukar%2C+REER%2C+Trade+balance%0D%0AThis+research+aims+to+analyze+the+influence+of+the+exchange+rate+against+the+trade%0D%0Abalance+and+to+analyze+whether+the+fluctuations+in+exchange+rates+will+affect+the%0D%0Aperformance+of+the+trade+balance+in+Indonesia.+This+research+uses+data+time+series%0D%0Aquarterly+case+study+countries+in+the+span+of+17+years+on+three+major+trading%0D%0Apartners%2C+namely+Japan%2C+United+States+(USA)+and+China+with+the+method+of%0D%0AVector+Error+Correction+models+(VECM).+The+results+showed+that+(i)+in+the+short%0D%0Aterm+and+the+long+term%2C+the+real+effective+exchange+rate+(REER)+connect+the%0D%0Apositive+and+significant+bilateral+trade+balance+against+Indonesia+by+Japan+and%0D%0AChina.+Whereas%2C+REER+associated+negative+and+significant+bilateral+trade+balance%0D%0Aagainst+Indonesia+with+the+United+States+in+the+long+run.+(ii)+the+Marshall-Lerner%0D%0ACondition+occurs+on+bilateral+trade+balance+with+Indonesia+Japan%2C+United+States%0D%0Aand+China.+Whereas%2C+the+J-curve+phenomenon+is+only+visible+on+Indonesia's+trade%0D%0Abalance+with+Amerika+Serikat.%0D%0AKeywords%3A+Exchange+rate%2C+J-curve%2C+Marshall-Lerner%2C+REER%2C+Trade+balance&rft.publisher=FAKULTAS+EKONOMI+DAN+BISNIS&rft.date=2019&rft.type=Skripsi&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F54413%2F1%2FABSTRAK.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F54413%2F2%2FSKRIPSI%2520FULL.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F54413%2F3%2FSKRIPSI%2520TANPA%2520BAB%2520PEMBAHASAN.pdf&rft.identifier=++SHAULA+RIZKY+SARLITA%2C+1511021017++(2019)+NILAI+TUKAR+DAN+TRADE+BALANCE+INDONESIA+(Implementasi+Teori+Marshall-Lerner+dan+Fenomena+J-curve).++FAKULTAS+EKONOMI+DAN+BISNIS%2C+UNIVERSITAS+LAMPUNG.+++++&rft.relation=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F54413%2F