?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.title=METODE+PENGHALUSAN+EKSPONENSIAL+HOLT-WINTERS+DAN%0D%0AMETODE+SEASONAL+AUTOREGRESSIVE+INTEGRATED%0D%0AMOVING+AVERAGE+(SARIMA)+PADA+PERAMALAN%0D%0ADATA+DERET+BERKALA+MUSIMAN&rft.creator=ANISA+RISKA+ANDI+SAPUTRI%2C+1517031025&rft.subject=QA+Mathematics&rft.description=The+aim+of+this+study+is+to+examine+Holt-Winters+Multiplicative+Exponential%0D%0ASmoothing+Method+and+Seasonal+Autoregressive+Integrated+Moving+Average%0D%0A(SARIMA)+Method+and+to+compare+this+two+methods+in+forecasting+data+on+the%0D%0Anumber+of+train+passengers+in+Indonesia.+Based+on+the+results+of+the+study%2C+it+was%0D%0Afound+that+the+Holt-Winters+Multiplicative+Exponential+Smoothing+Method+was%0D%0Amore+feasible+than+the+SARIMA+Method+in+predicting+the+number+of+train%0D%0Apassengers+in+Indonesia+in+the+future+period.%0D%0AKeywords%3A+Holt-Winters%2C+Multiplicative%2C+SARIMA%2C+MSE.%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0ATujuan+dari+penelitian+ini+adalah+untuk+mengkaji+Metode+Penghalusan%0D%0AEksponensial+Holt-Winters+Multiplikatif+dan+Metode+Seasonal+Autoregressive%0D%0AIntegrated+Moving+Average+(SARIMA)+serta+membandingkan+kedua+metode%0D%0Atersebut+pada+peramalan+data+jumlah+penumpang+Kereta+Api+di+Indonesia.%0D%0ABerdasarkan+hasil+penelitian+diperoleh+bahwa+Metode+Penghalusan+Eksponensial%0D%0AHolt-Winters+Multiplikatif+lebih+layak+digunakan+dibandingkan+Metode+SARIMA%0D%0Adalam+meramalkan+jumlah+penumpang+kereta+api+di+Indonesia+periode+kedepan.%0D%0AKata+kunci%3A+Holt-Winters%2C+Multiplikatif%2C+SARIMA%2C+MSE.&rft.publisher=FAKULTAS+MATEMATIKA+DAN+ILMU+PENGETAHUAN+ALAM&rft.date=2019-02-20&rft.type=Skripsi&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F54487%2F1%2FABSTRAK.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F54487%2F2%2FSKRIPSI%2520FULL.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F54487%2F3%2FSKRIPSI%2520TANPA%2520BAB%2520PEMBAHASAN.pdf&rft.identifier=++ANISA+RISKA+ANDI+SAPUTRI%2C+1517031025++(2019)+METODE+PENGHALUSAN+EKSPONENSIAL+HOLT-WINTERS+DAN+METODE+SEASONAL+AUTOREGRESSIVE+INTEGRATED+MOVING+AVERAGE+(SARIMA)+PADA+PERAMALAN+DATA+DERET+BERKALA+MUSIMAN.++FAKULTAS+MATEMATIKA+DAN+ILMU+PENGETAHUAN+ALAM%2C+UNIVERSITAS+LAMPUNG.+++++&rft.relation=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F54487%2F