creators_name: ANISA RISKA ANDI SAPUTRI, 1517031025
creators_id: -
type: other
datestamp: 2022-03-14 02:20:49
lastmod: 2022-03-14 02:20:49
metadata_visibility: show
title: METODE PENGHALUSAN EKSPONENSIAL HOLT-WINTERS DAN
METODE SEASONAL AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED
MOVING AVERAGE (SARIMA) PADA PERAMALAN
DATA DERET BERKALA MUSIMAN
ispublished: pub
subjects: QA
full_text_status: restricted
abstract: The aim of this study is to examine Holt-Winters Multiplicative Exponential
Smoothing Method and Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average
(SARIMA) Method and to compare this two methods in forecasting data on the
number of train passengers in Indonesia. Based on the results of the study, it was
found that the Holt-Winters Multiplicative Exponential Smoothing Method was
more feasible than the SARIMA Method in predicting the number of train
passengers in Indonesia in the future period.
Keywords: Holt-Winters, Multiplicative, SARIMA, MSE.


Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengkaji Metode Penghalusan
Eksponensial Holt-Winters Multiplikatif dan Metode Seasonal Autoregressive
Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) serta membandingkan kedua metode
tersebut pada peramalan data jumlah penumpang Kereta Api di Indonesia.
Berdasarkan hasil penelitian diperoleh bahwa Metode Penghalusan Eksponensial
Holt-Winters Multiplikatif lebih layak digunakan dibandingkan Metode SARIMA
dalam meramalkan jumlah penumpang kereta api di Indonesia periode kedepan.
Kata kunci: Holt-Winters, Multiplikatif, SARIMA, MSE.
date: 2019-02-20
date_type: published
publisher: FAKULTAS MATEMATIKA DAN ILMU PENGETAHUAN ALAM
place_of_pub: UNIVERSITAS LAMPUNG
citation:   ANISA RISKA ANDI SAPUTRI, 1517031025  (2019) METODE PENGHALUSAN EKSPONENSIAL HOLT-WINTERS DAN METODE SEASONAL AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE (SARIMA) PADA PERAMALAN DATA DERET BERKALA MUSIMAN.  FAKULTAS MATEMATIKA DAN ILMU PENGETAHUAN ALAM, UNIVERSITAS LAMPUNG.     
document_url: http://digilib.unila.ac.id/54487/1/ABSTRAK.pdf
document_url: http://digilib.unila.ac.id/54487/2/SKRIPSI%20FULL.pdf
document_url: http://digilib.unila.ac.id/54487/3/SKRIPSI%20TANPA%20BAB%20PEMBAHASAN.pdf