TY  - THES
ID  - eprints56170
UR  - http://digilib.unila.ac.id/56170/
A1  - MIFTI ANISA WULANSARI, 1721021001
Y1  - 2019///
N2  - Penelitian  ini  mengamati  bagaimana  peluang  negara-negara  ASEAN  yang 
berada  pada  middle  income  countries dapat  terhindar  dari  middle  income  trap.
World  Bank   mengklasifikasikan  negara  menggunakan  GNI  per  kapita,   dan 
selanjutnya  diteliti  bagaimana  pengaruh   Human  Development  Index,  Foreign 
Direct Investments, Goods and Services Exports, dan  Government Effectiveness 
Index terhadap GNI per kapita.Data sekunder digunakan dan telah diterbitkan 
resmi  oleh  World  Bank dan  United  Nation  Development  Program (UNDP) 
Indonesia,  Filipina,  Malaysia,  Thailand,  dan  Vietnam  pada  periode  2004-2017. 
Selain  itu  penelitian  ini  membahas  kontribusi  Koefisien  Incremantal  Capital 
Output Ratio(ICOR) terhadap Pertumbuhan Produk Domstik Bruto (PDB). Hasil 
penelitian  menyatakan  bahwa,  terdapat  pengaruh  yang siginifikan  dan  positif 
antara  variabel  bebas  terhadap  variabel  terikat.  Diharapkan  agar,  pentingnya 
memberikan  prioritas  variabel  makro  ekonomi  sebagaimana  hasil  penelitian  ini, 
sehingga negera-negara tersebut dapat menghindari Middle  Income Trap.  Untuk 
penelitian lanjutan, dapan menggunakan modal manusia sebagai bonus demogrfai 
dan variabel investasi dengan tujuan untuk memberikan peramalan. 
Kata kunci :  middle income countries, middle income trap, Human  Development 
Index,  Foreign  Direct  Investement,  Goods  and  Services  Export,   Goverment 
Effectiveness  Index,  Incremantal  Capital  Output  Ratio (ICOR),  GNI  per  kapita, 
Fixed Effect Model

This study observes how the opportunities of middleincome countries located in 
ASEAN  avoid  Middle  Income  Trap.  GNI  per  capita  used by  World  bank  to 
country  clasified,  then  make   research  to  kno  the  influenced  of   Human 
Development  Index,  Foreign  Direct  Investments,  Goods  and  Services  Exports, 
and  the  Government  Effectiveness  Index  are  regressed  to  GNI  per  capita. 
Secondary data are used and was published officially by the World Bank and the 
United  Nation  Development  Program  (UNDP)  in   Indonesia,  the  Philippines, 
Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam in the period 2004-2017. In addition, this study 
discusses  the  contribution  of  the  Incremental  Capital  Output  Ratio  (ICOR) 
coefficient to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Growth.The results of the study 
state  that,  there  are  significant  and  positive  effects  between  the  independent 
variables on the dependent variable. Expected that,its important to give a priority 
in macro economics as a result of this research, sothey can avoid Middle Income 
Trap.   For  Advanced  Research,  you  can  use  a  human  capital  as  a  bonus 
demographic and investment variables in order to provide forecasting. 
Key word :  middle income countries, middle income trap, Human  Development 
Index,  Foreign  Direct  Investement,  Goods  and  Services  Export,   Goverment 
Effectiveness  Index,  Incremental  Capital  Output  Ratio  (ICOR),  GNI  per  kapita, 
Fixed Effect Model
PB  - Universitas Lampung
M1  - masters
TI  - PENGARUH INDIKATOR MAKRO EKONOMI 
NEGARA-NEGARA DI REGIONAL ASEAN TERHADAP 
MIDDLE INCOME TRAP
AV  - restricted
ER  -