?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.title=STUDI+PEMODELAN+CURAH+HUJAN+HARIAN+SINTETIK+DI+KABUPATEN+TANGGAMUS&rft.creator=Rangga+Rizki+Wijaya%2C+0915011021&rft.subject=+&rft.description=Penelitian+ini+dilakukan+untuk+mempelajari+pola+karakteristik+curah+hujan+harian+dan+membuat+model+sintetik+curah+hujan+harian+di+Kabupaten+Tanggamus+dengan+menggunakan+model+periodik%2C+stokastik+dan+periodik+stokastik.+Penelitian+ini+dilakukan+dengan+menggunakan+data+curah+hujan+harian+dengan+panjang+data+dari+tahun+1986-2013+di+tiga+stasiun+yaitu+stasiun+Air+Naningan%2C+Way+Harong%2C+dan+Kunyir.+%0D%0APemodelan+ini+menggunakan+panjang+data+tahunan+512+hari.+Dengan+menggunakan+frekuensi+curah+hujan+yang+didapat+dan+mengaplikasikan+metode+spektral+dan+metode+kuadrat+terkecil+dapat+dihasilkan+model+periodik+curah+hujan+harian.+Model+stokastik+curah+hujan+dari+data+curah+hujan+ini+diasumsikan+sebagai+selisih+antara+data+curah+hujan+dengan+model+periodik.+Berdasarkan+data+seri+stokastik%2C+komponen+stokastik+dihitung+dengan+menggunakan+pendekatan+autoregresif+model.+Model+stokastik+dipresentasikan+dengan+menggunakan+autoregresif+model+orde+tiga.+Model+periodik+stokastik+diperoleh+dengan+menggabungkan+model+periodik+dan+stokastik.+Validasi+pemodelan+dengan+data+dilakukan+dengan+menghitung+koefisien+korelasinya+dan+efisiensi+Nash-Sutcliffe.++%0D%0ABerdasarkan+hasil+penelitian+ini+dapat+disimpulkan+bahwa+curah+hujan+harian+sintetik+seri+waktu+dapat+diperoleh+secara+signifikan+dan+akurat+dengan+nilai+koefisien+korelasi+yang+sangat+baik%2C+nilai+koefisien+korelasi+rata-rata+model+periodik+adalah+0%2C9711%2C+koefisien+korelasi+model+stokastik+adalah+0%2C9981%2C+dan+koefisien+korelasi+model+periodik+stokastik+adalah+0%2C9998.+Efisisensi+Nash-Sutcliffe+rata+%E2%80%93rata+dari+model+periodik+adalah++94%2C27%25%2C+Model+stokastik+adalah+99%2C61%25%2C+Model+periodik+stokastik+adalah+99%2C97+%25.%0D%0A%0D%0AThis+research+conducted+to+study+the+characteristics+of+daily+rainfall+and+model+making+of+synthetic+daily+rainfall+in+Tanggamus+regency+using+periodic+model%2C+stochastic+model+and+periodic+stochastic+models.+This+research+conducted+using+daily+rainfall+data+with+length+of+1986-2013+from+three+rainfall+stations%2C+Air+Naningan%2C+Way+Harong+and+Kunyir+rainfall+stations.%0D%0AThese+models+performed+by+using+512+days+annual+data.+Using+rainfall+frequency+obtained+and+applying+the+spectral+method+and+the+least+squares+method%2C+it+can+be+generated+the+daily+rainfall+periodic+models.+Rainfall+stochastic+model+assumed+as+the+difference+between+rainfall+data+with+periodic+rainfall+models.+Based+on+data+from+the+series+of+stochastic%2C+the+component+was+calculated+using+the+approach+of+autoregressive+models.+Stochastic+model+was+presented+by+using+the+autoregressive+model+of+order+three.+Periodic+stochastic+model+obtained+by+merging+periodic+model+and+stochastic+model.+Model+validation+and+data+obtained+by+calculating+the+correlation+coefficient+and+Nash-Sutcliffe+Eficiency.%0D%0ABased+on+these+results%2C+it+can+concluded+that+the+synthetic+daily+rainfall+can+be+obtained+significantly+and+accurately+with+good+value.+The+average+value+of+the+correlation+coefficient+periodic+models+is+0%2C9711%2C+stochastic+models+correlation+coefficient+is+0%2C9981+and+the+periodic+stochastic+models+is+0%2C9998.+The+average+value+of+Nash-Sutcliffe+Eficiency+of+periodic+model+is+94%2C27%25%2C+The+Stochastic+model+is+99%2C61%25.+The+periodic+stochastic+models+is+99%2C97%25%0D%0A&rft.publisher=Fakultas+Teknik&rft.date=2014-11-10&rft.type=Skripsi&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F5903%2F1%2F1.%2520COVER%2520LUAR.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F5903%2F2%2F2.%2520ABSTRACT.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F5903%2F3%2F3.%2520ABSTRAK.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F5903%2F4%2F4.%2520COVER%2520DALAM.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F5903%2F5%2F5.%2520PERSETUJUAN.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F5903%2F6%2F6.%2520LEMBAR%2520PENGESAHAN.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F5903%2F7%2F7.%2520LEMBAR%2520PERNYATAAN.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F5903%2F8%2F8.%2520RIWAYAT%2520HIDUP.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F5903%2F9%2F9.%2520MOTO.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F5903%2F10%2F10.%2520HALAMAN%2520PERSEMBAHAN.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F5903%2F11%2F11.%2520SANWACANA.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F5903%2F12%2F12.%2520DAFTAR%2520ISI.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F5903%2F13%2F13.%2520DAFTAR%2520GAMBAR.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%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