?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.title=PERBANDINGAN+MODEL+CHEN+DAN+MODEL+MARKOV+CHAIN%0D%0APADA+METODE+FUZZY+TIME+SERIES+UNTUK+PERAMALAN%0D%0A%0D%0ANILAI+TUKAR+PETANI+DI+LAMPUNG&rft.creator=Dhea+Nisa+Yustia+Rizki%2C+1717031079&rft.subject=510+Matematika&rft.description=ABSTRACT%0D%0A%0D%0AA+COMPARISON+OF+CHEN+MODEL+AND+MARKOV+CHAIN+MODEL+IN%0D%0AFUZZY+TIME+SERIES+METHOD+FOR+FORECASTING+FARMER%0D%0A%0D%0AEXCHANGE+RATE+IN+LAMPUNG%0D%0A%0D%0ABy%0D%0A%0D%0ADHEA+NISA+YUSTIA+RIZKI%0D%0A%0D%0AThe+Fuzzy+Time+Series+(FTS)+method+is+a+forecasting+method+that+uses+the+concept%0D%0Aof+fuzzy+sets+as+the+basis+for+forecasting+modeling.+Some+of+the+methods+available%0D%0Ain+FTS+are+the+FTS+method+of+Chen+model+and+the+FTS+method+of+Markov+Chain%0D%0Amodel.+This+study+aims+to+compare+the+results+of+forecasting+data+on+farmer%0D%0Aexchange+rates+in+Lampung+and+choose+which+method+is+the+best+of+the+two+methods%0D%0Aby+looking+at+the+smallest+MAE+(Mean+Absolute+Error)+and+MAPE+(Mean+Absolute%0D%0APercentage+Error)+values.+The+result+of+the+study+indicates+that+the+FTS+method+of%0D%0AMarkov+Chain+model+is+the+best+method+compared+to+the+FTS+method+of+Chen%0D%0Amodel.%0D%0A%0D%0AKeywords%3A+Forecasting%2C+Fuzzy+Time+Series%2C+Chen+Model%2C+Markov+Chain+Model%2C%0D%0A%0D%0AMAE%2C+MAPE.%0D%0A%0D%0AABSTRAK%0D%0A%0D%0APERBANDINGAN+MODEL+CHEN+DAN+MODEL+MARKOV+CHAIN%0D%0APADA+METODE+FUZZY+TIME+SERIES+UNTUK+PERAMALAN%0D%0A%0D%0ANILAI+TUKAR+PETANI+DI+LAMPUNG%0D%0A%0D%0AOleh%0D%0A%0D%0ADHEA+NISA+YUSTIA+RIZKI%0D%0A%0D%0AMetode+Fuzzy+Time+Series+(FTS)+merupakan+metode+peramalan+yang+menggunakan%0D%0Akonsep+himpunan+fuzzy+sebagai+dasar+pemodelan+peramalan.+Beberapa+metode%0D%0Ayang+ada+di+FTS+adalah+metode+FTS+model+Chen+dan+metode+FTS+model+Markov%0D%0AChain.+Penelitian+ini+bertujuan+untuk+membandingkan+hasil+peramalan+data+nilai%0D%0Atukar+petani+di+Lampung+dan+memilih+metode+mana+yang+terbaik+diantara+kedua%0D%0Ametode+tersebut+dengan+melihat+nilai+MAE+(Mean+Absolute+Error)+dan+MAPE%0D%0A(Mean+Absolute+Percentage+Error)+terkecil.+Hasil+dari+penelitian+menunjukkan%0D%0Abahwa+metode+FTS+model+Markov+Chain+merupakan+metode+terbaik+dibanding%0D%0AFTS+model+Chen.%0D%0A%0D%0AKata+Kunci%3A+Peramalan%2C+Fuzzy+Time+Series%2C+Model+Chen%2C+Model+Markov+Chain%2C%0D%0A%0D%0AMAE%2C+MAPE.&rft.publisher=FAKULTAS+MATEMATIKA+DAN+ILMU+PENGETAHUAN+ALAM&rft.date=2021&rft.type=Skripsi&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F60473%2F1%2F1.%2520ABSTRAK%2520%2528ABSTRACT%2529%2520-%2520Kak%2520Dan.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F60473%2F2%2F2.%2520SKRIPSI%2520FULL%2520-%2520Kak%2520Dan.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F60473%2F3%2F3.%2520SKRIPSI%2520TANPA%2520BAB%2520PEMBAHASAN%2520-%2520Kak%2520Dan.pdf&rft.identifier=++Dhea+Nisa+Yustia+Rizki%2C+1717031079++(2021)+PERBANDINGAN+MODEL+CHEN+DAN+MODEL+MARKOV+CHAIN+PADA+METODE+FUZZY+TIME+SERIES+UNTUK+PERAMALAN+NILAI+TUKAR+PETANI+DI+LAMPUNG.++FAKULTAS+MATEMATIKA+DAN+ILMU+PENGETAHUAN+ALAM%2C+UNIVERSITAS+LAMPUNG.+++++&rft.relation=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F60473%2F