?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_id=1817031080&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.title=METODE+FUZZY+TIME+SERIES+MODEL+CHEN+UNTUK+PERAMALAN+NILAI+EKSPOR+DI+INDONESIA&rft.creator=AULIA+KINTAN+RIZALMA%2C+1817031080&rft.subject=500+ilmu+pengetahuan+alam+dan+matematika&rft.description=formed+in+linguistic+values.+One+of+the+FTS+models+currently+being+developed+is+the+Chen+FTS+model.+This+study+aims+to+compare+the+results+of+forecasting+the+value+of+Indonesia's+exports+from+January+2016+to+March+2022+using+the+Chen+model+FTS+method+with+three+different+samples%2C+namely+the+first+sample%2C+the+second+sample+and+the+third+sample+to+determine+the+best+number+of+samples+in+forecasting+this+export+value+by+looking+at+the+results.+high+accuracy+of+the+calculation+of+MAE+(Mean+Absolute+Error)+and+MAPE+(Mean+Absolute+Percentage+Error+).+The+results+of+this+study+indicate+that+the+first+sample+is+the+best+sample+compared+to+other+samples.%0D%0AKeywords%3A+Forecasting%2C+Fuzzy+Time+Series%2C+Chen+Model%2C+Export+Value%2C+MAE%2C+MAPE.%0D%0A%0D%0AFuzzy+Time+Series(FTS)+merupakan+konsep+untuk+memprediksi+masalah+dimana+data+aktual+terbentuk+dalam+nilai-nilai+kebahasaan.+Salah+satu+model+FTS+yang+sedang+berkembang+saat+ini+adalah+FTS+model+Chen.+Penelitian+ini+bertujuan+untuk+membandingkan+hasil+peramalan+nilai+ekspor+Indonesia+bulan+Januari+2016+sampai+dengan+Maret+2022+menggunakan+metode+FTS+model+Chen+dengan+tiga+jumlah+sampel+yang+berbeda+yaitu+sampel+pertama%2C+sampel+kedua+dan+sampel+ketiga+untuk+mengetahui+jumlah+sampel+terbaik+dalam+peramalan+nilai+ekspor+ini+dengan+melihat+hasil+akurasi+yang+tinggi+dari+perhitungan+MAE(Mean+Absolute+Error)+dan+MAPE+(Mean+Absolute+Percentage+Error+).+Hasil+dari+penelitian+ini+menunjukkan+bahwa+sampel+pertama+merupakan+sampel+terbaik+dibanding+dengan+sampel+lainnya.%0D%0AKata+Kunci%3A+Peramalan%2C+Fuzzy+Time+Series%2C+Model+Chen%2C+Nilai+Ekspor%2C+MAE%2C+MAPE.%0D%0A&rft.publisher=FAKULTAS+MATEMATIKA+DAN+ILMU+PENGETAHUAN+ALAM&rft.date=2022-07-08&rft.type=Skripsi&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F64902%2F1%2FABSTRAK.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F64902%2F3%2FSKRIPSI%2520FULL.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F64902%2F2%2FSKRIPSI%2520TANPA%2520BAB%2520PEMBAHSAN.pdf&rft.identifier=++AULIA+KINTAN+RIZALMA%2C+1817031080++(2022)+METODE+FUZZY+TIME+SERIES+MODEL+CHEN+UNTUK+PERAMALAN+NILAI+EKSPOR+DI+INDONESIA.++FAKULTAS+MATEMATIKA+DAN+ILMU+PENGETAHUAN+ALAM%2C+UNIVERSITAS+LAMPUNG.+++++&rft.relation=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F64902%2F