?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_id=1917031008&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.title=IMPLEMENTASI+METODE+BACKPROPAGATION+NEURAL+NETWORK+(BPNN)+DALAM+MERAMALKAN+TINGKAT+INFLASI+DI+INDONESIA&rft.creator=AHMAD+RIZKI+WIRANTO%2C+1917031008&rft.subject=000+Ilmu+komputer%2C+informasi+dan+pekerjaan+umum&rft.subject=001+Ilmu+pengetahuan&rft.description=ABSTRACT%0D%0AIMPLEMENTATION+OF+THE+BACKPROPAGATION+NEURAL+NETWORK+(BPNN)+METHOD+TO+FORECASTING+INFLATION+IN+INDONESIA%0D%0A%0D%0AForecasting+is+an+attempt+to+predict+something+in+the+future+based+on+patterns+of+data+or+information+in+the+past.+ARIMA%2C+Exponential+Smoothing%2C+and+SARIMA+are+several+methods+that+are+often+used+in+forecasting+time+series+data.+However%2C+this+method+has+weaknesses%2C+namely+the+data+used+must+be+stationary+and+the+resulting+accuracy+is+not+good.+To+overcome+these+weaknesses%2C+many+researchers+apply+the+Artificial+Neural+Network+method%2C+one+of+which+is+Backpropagation+Neural+Network.+The+Backpropagation+Neural+Network+method+is+very+well+used+in+economic+forecasting.+The+economic+problem+in+Indonesia+that+is+still+a+big+problem+is+inflation.+In+this+study%2C+inflation+forecasting+in+Indonesia+will+be+carried+out+using+inflation+data+in+Indonesia+for+the+period+January+2000+to+October+2022.+The+results+obtained+show+that+the+best+data+sharing+was+50%25+training+and+50%25+testing+using+the+sigmoid+binary+activation+function%2C+the+best+architecture+was+obtained%2C+namely+12-21-1+with+an+MSE+value+at+the+training+stage+of+0%2C00067535+and+MSE+at+the+testing+stage+is+0.0767.+After+forecasting%2C+it+was+found+that+the+highest+inflation+occurred+in+October+2023+of+0%2C5579+and+the+smallest+inflation+forecast+occurred+in+February+2023+of+0%2C203.%0D%0AKeywords%3A+Forecasting%2C+Neural+Network%2C+Backpropagation+Neural+Network%2C+Inflation%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0APeramalan+merupakan+upaya+dalam+memperkirakan+sesuatu+di+masa+depan+berdasarkan+pada+pola+data+atau+informasi+di+masa+lalu.+ARIMA%2C+Exponential+Smoothing%2C+dan+SARIMA+merupakan+beberapa+metode+yang+sering+digunakan+dalam+peramalan+data+runtun+waktu.+Namun%2C+metode+tersebut+memiliki+kelemahan+yaitu+data+yang+digunakan+harus+stasioner+serta+akurasi+yang+dihasilkan+kurang+baik.+Untuk+mengatasi+kelemahan+tersebut%2C+peneliti+banyak+yang+menerapkan+metode+Jaringan+Syaraf+Tiruan+salah+satunya+Backpropagation+Neural+Network.+Metode+Backpropagation+Neural+Network+sangat+baik+digunakan+dalam+peramalan+bidang+ekonomi.+Masalah+ekonomi+di+Indonesia+yang+sampai+saat+ini+masih+menjadi+permasalahan+besar+adalah+inflasi.+Pada+penelitian+ini%2C+akan+dilakukan+peramalan+inflasi+di+Indonesia+menggunakan+data+inflasi+periode+Januari+2000+hingga+Oktober+2022.+Hasil+yang+diperoleh+menunjukan+pembagian+data+terbaik+yaitu+50%25+training+dan+50%25+testing+dengan+menggunakan+fungsi+aktivasi+sigmoid+biner+didapatkan+arsitektur+terbaik+yaitu+12-21-1+dengan+nilai+MSE+pada+tahapan+training+sebesar+0%2C00067535+dan+MSE+pada+tahapan+testing+yaitu+0%2C0767.+Setelah+dilakukan+peramalan%2C+diperoleh+bahwa+inflasi+tertinggi+terjadi+pada+bulan+Oktober+2023+sebesar+0%2C5579+serta+peramalan+inflasi+terkecil+terjadi+pada+Februari+2023+sebesar+0%2C203.%0D%0AKata+Kunci%3A+Peramalan%2C+Jaringan+Syaraf+Tiruan%2C+Backpropagation+Neural+Network%2C+Inflasi.&rft.publisher=FAKULTAS+MATEMATIKA+DAN+ILMU+PENGETAHUAN+ALAM&rft.date=2023-02-10&rft.type=Skripsi&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F69840%2F1%2FABSTRAK.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F69840%2F2%2FSKRIPSI%2520FULL.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F69840%2F3%2FSKRIPSI%2520TANPA%2520BAB%2520PEMBAHASAN.pdf&rft.identifier=++AHMAD+RIZKI+WIRANTO%2C+1917031008++(2023)+IMPLEMENTASI+METODE+BACKPROPAGATION+NEURAL+NETWORK+(BPNN)+DALAM+MERAMALKAN+TINGKAT+INFLASI+DI+INDONESIA.++FAKULTAS+MATEMATIKA+DAN+ILMU+PENGETAHUAN+ALAM%2C+UNIVERSITAS+LAMPUNG.++++(Submitted)++&rft.relation=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F69840%2F