?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.title=Model+Stokastik+Curah+Hujan+Harian+dari+beberapa+Stasiun+Curah+Hujan+di+Way+Jepara&rft.creator=Mirnanda+Cambodia%2C+1115011065&rft.subject=+&rft.description=ABSTRAK%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0AMODEL+STOKASTIK+CURAH+HUJAN+HARIAN+%0D%0ADARI+BEBERAPA+STASIUN+CURAH+HUJAN+%0D%0ADI+WAY+JEPARA%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0AOleh%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0AMIRNANDA+CAMBODIA%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0APenelitian+ini+dilakukan+untuk+mempelajari+dan+mengetahui+karakteristik+model+periodic+dan+stokastik+curah+hujan+harian+di+wilayah+Way+Jepara.++Studi+ini+menggunakan+data+sekunder%2C+yakni+data+curah+hujan+harian+dengan+panjang+data+13+tahun+(1997-2013)+dari+stasiun+Braja+Arjosari%2C+Braja+Indah%2C+dan+Jepara+Lama.+++%0D%0ADalam+penelitian+ini%2C+data+curah+hujan+harian+diolah+kedalam+bentuk+time+series+sebelum+kemudian+diubah+menjadi+spectrum+curah+hujan+menggunakan+program+FFT+(Fast+Fourier+Transform).+Satu+tahun+dari+keperiodikan+data+curah+hujan+harian%2C+hanya+digunakan+512+data+curah+hujan+yang+bersifat+periodik.++Spektrum+curah+hujan+menghasilkan+data+seri+stokastik+curah+hujan+yang+diasumsikan+sebagai+selisih+(kesalahan)+antara+data+curah+hujan+sebenarnya+dengan+model+periodik+curah+hujan.+Berdasarkan+data+seri+stokastik%2C+komponen+stokastik+dihitung+menggunakan+pendekatan+autoregresif+model.+Model+stokastik+dihasilkan+dengan+menggunakan+metode+kuadrat+terkecil+(least+square+methode)+atau+autoregresif+model+orde+tiga.++Validasi+seri+stokastik+antara+data+terukur+dan+model+dilakukan+dengan+menghitung+koefisien+korelasinya.%0D%0ADari+hasil+penelitian%2C+didapat+nilai+koefisien+korelasi+rata-rata+tiga+stasiun+curah+hujan+harian+tersebut.++Nilai+koefisien+korelasi+rata-rata+(R)+antara+data+dengan+model+periodik+curah+hujan+adalah+sebesar+0%2C97305%2C+antara+seri+data+stokastik+dan+model+stokastik+adalah+sebesar+0%2C99150%2C+dan+antara+data+dan+model+periodik+stokastik+adalah+sebesar+0%2C99963.++Dari+hasil+yang+ada%2C+dapat+disimpulkan+bahwa+model+periodik+stokastik+dari+curah+hujan+wilayah+Way+Jepara+memberikan+hasil+pendekatan+yang+sangat+akurat+dan+signifikan.%0D%0A%0D%0AKata+kunci+%3A+curah+hujan+harian%2C+autoregresif+model%2C+stokastik%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0AABSTRAC%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0ASTOCHASTIC+MODEL+OF+DAILY+RAINFALL+%0D%0ASOME+OF+THE+RAINFALL+STATION+%0D%0ATHE+WAY+JEPARA%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0ABy%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0AMIRNANDA+CAMBODIA%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A%09This+research+was+conducted+to+study+and+know+the+characteristics+of+periodic+and+stochastic+models+of+daily+rainfall+in+the+Way+Jepara.++This+study+used+secondary+data%2C+namely+daily+rainfall+data+with+a+data+length+of+13+years+(1997-2013)+from+the+station+Braja+Arjosari%2C+Braja+Indah%2C+and+Jepara+Lama.%0D%0A%0D%0A%09+In+this+study+%2C+daily+rainfall+data+is+processed+into+the+form+of+time+series+before+it+was+transformed+into+the+spectrum+of+rainfall+using+the+program+FFT+(Fast+Fourier+Transform).++One+year+of+daily+rainfall+data+periodicity%2C+only+used+512+rainfall+data+are+periodic.++Spectrum+rainfall+produce+data+series+stochastic+rainfall+is+assumed+as+the+difference+(error)+between+the+actual+rainfall+data+with+periodic+rainfall+models.+Based+on+data+from+the+series+of+stochastic%2C+the+stochastic+component+is+calculated+using+the+approach+of+autoregressive+models.++Stochastic+model+generated+using+the+least+squares+method+(least+square+method)+or+autoregressive+model+of+order+three.++Validation+of+stochastic+series+between+the+measured+data+and+the+model+is+done+by+calculating+the+correlation+coefficient.%0D%0A%0D%0A%09From+the+research%2C+the+correlation+coefficient+obtained+an+average+of+three+stations+of+the+daily+rainfall.++Value+of+the+average+correlation+coefficient+(+R+)+between+the+data+with+a+model+periodic+rainfall+amounted+to+0.97305%2C+the+data+series+is+stochastic+and+stochastic+models+of+0.99150%2C+and+between+data+and+periodic+stochastic+models+are+at+0.99963.++From+the+results%2C+it+can+be+concluded+that+the+periodic+stochastic+models+of+rainfall+Way+Jepara+region+gives+very+accurate+results+and+the+approach+significantly.%0D%0A%0D%0AKeywords+%3A+daily+rainfall%2C+autoregressive+models%2C+stochastic%0D%0A%0D%0A&rft.publisher=Fakultas+Teknik&rft.date=2015-01-20&rft.type=Skripsi&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F7014%2F1%2FAbstrak.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F7014%2F2%2FAbstract.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F7014%2F3%2FCover%2520Dalam.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F7014%2F4%2FHalaman%2520Persetujuan.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F7014%2F5%2FHalaman%2520Pengesahan.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F7014%2F6%2FPernyataan.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F7014%2F7%2FR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