?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.title=HYBRID+AUTOREGRESSIVE+INTEGRATED+MOVING+AVERAGE%0D%0A(ARIMA)+%E2%80%93+GATED+RECURRENT+UNIT+(GRU)+DALAM+PERAMALAN%0D%0AHARGA+SAWIT+PADA+PT.+SAWIT+SUMBERMAS+SARANA+DI%0D%0AKALIMANTAN+TENGAH&rft.creator=TIARA+PRAMAY+%2C+SHELLA&rft.subject=500+ilmu+pengetahuan+alam+dan+matematika&rft.subject=510+Matematika&rft.description=The+palm+oil+industry+has+a+strategic+role+in+the+economy+of+Indonesia.+Indonesia+is+the+country+that+has+great+potential+for+marketing+palm+oil+and+palm+kernel+both+domestically+and+abroad.+Price+palm+oil+consistently+has+a+relationship+with+CPO+prices%2C+this+happens+because+the+price+of+palm+fruit+refers+to+the+price+of+CPO%2C+so+it+fluctuates.+Steps+that+can+be+taken+are+to+predict+the+price+of+palm+oil+in+several+future+periods.+ARIMA+is+the+best+method+commonly+used+for+forecasting.+The+weakness+of+ARIMA+is+that+it+is+difficult+to+define+non-linear+components+contained+in+data.+GRU+is+a+model+that+has+2+gates%2C+namely+the+update+gate+and+the+reset+gate.+The+two+gates+in+the+GRU+model+are+expected+to+be+able+to+capture+non-linear+patterns+in+the+data.+Therefore%2C+the+hybrid+ARIMA-GRU+method+was+formed+to+be+able+to+predict+and+forecast.+The+ARIMA+hybrid+method+GRU+consists+of+2+models%3A+the+first+is+predictive+of+ARIMA+results%2C+and+the+second+is+residual+data+from+ARIMA+results.+The+hybrid+model+in+this+study+produces+an+MSE+value+of+868.4690%2C+an+RMSE+value+of+29.4698%2C+a+MAPE+of+0.0117%2C+and+an+accuracy+of+99.9824%25.%0D%0AKeywords%3A+Hybrid+ARIMA+%E2%80%93+GRU%2C+GRU%2C+ARIMA%2C+time+series%2C+hybrid+model%2C+plam+price%2C+prediction+and+forecasting%0D%0AIndustri+kelapa+sawit+memiliki+peran+strategis+dalam+perekonomian+Indonesia.+Indonesia+merupakan+negara+yang+memiliki+potensi+besar+dalam+pemasaran+minyak+sawit+dan+inti+sawit+baik+di+dalam+negeri+maupun+di+luar+negeri.+Harga+minyak+sawit+secara+konsisten+memiliki+hubungan+dengan+harga+CPO%2C+hal+ini+terjadi+karena+harga+sawit+mengacu+pada+harga+CPO+sehingga+terjadi+fluktuasi.+Langkah+yang+dapat+dilakukan+adalah+meramalkan+harga+sawit+dalam+beberapa+periode+mendatang.+ARIMA+merupakan+metode+terbaik+yang+biasa+digunakan+untuk+peramalan.+Kelemahan+ARIMA+adalah+sulitnya+mendefinisikan+komponen+non-linier+yang+terkandung+dalam+data.+GRU+merupakan+model+yang+memiliki+2+gate+yaitu+update+gate+dan+reset+gate.+Kedua+gate+dalam+model+GRU+diharapkan+mampu+menangkap+pola+non-linier+dalam+data.+Oleh+karena+itu%2C+dibentuklah+metode+hybrid+ARIMA-GRU+yang+diharapkan+mampu+prediksi+dan+peramalan.+Metode+hybrid+ARIMA+-+GRU+terdiri+dari+2+model+yaitu+model+pertama+adalah+model+prediksi+ARIMA+dan+yang+kedua+adalah+model+residual+dari+ARIMA.+Model+hybrid+pada+penelitian+ini+menghasilkan+nilai+MSE+sebesar+868%2C4690%2C+nilai+RMSE+sebesar+29%2C4698%2C+MAPE+sebesar+0%2C0117%2C+dan+akurasi+sebesar+99%2C9824%25.%0D%0AKata+Kunci%3A+Hybrid+ARIMA+%E2%80%93+GRU%2C+GRU%2C+ARIMA%2C+deret+waktu%2C+model+hybrid%2C+harga+sawit%2C+prediksi+dan+peramalan&rft.publisher=FAKULTAS+MATEMATIKA+DAN+ILMU+PENGETAHUAN+ALAM+&rft.date=2023-08-02&rft.type=Skripsi&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F75281%2F1%2FABSTRAK.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F75281%2F2%2FSKRIPSI%2520FULL.pdf&rft.format=text&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F75281%2F3%2FSKRIPSI%2520TANPA%2520BAB%2520PEMBAHASAN.pdf&rft.identifier=++TIARA+PRAMAY+%2C+SHELLA++(2023)+HYBRID+AUTOREGRESSIVE+INTEGRATED+MOVING+AVERAGE+(ARIMA)+%E2%80%93+GATED+RECURRENT+UNIT+(GRU)+DALAM+PERAMALAN+HARGA+SAWIT+PADA+PT.+SAWIT+SUMBERMAS+SARANA+DI+KALIMANTAN+TENGAH.++FAKULTAS+MATEMATIKA+DAN+ILMU+PENGETAHUAN+ALAM+%2C+UNIVERSITAS+LAMPUNG.+++++&rft.relation=http%3A%2F%2Fdigilib.unila.ac.id%2F75281%2F