Digital Library: No conditions. Results ordered -Date Deposited. 2024-03-29T13:52:30ZEPrintshttp://digilib.unila.ac.id/images/sitelogo.pnghttp://digilib.unila.ac.id/2022-04-01T06:06:00Z2022-04-01T06:06:00Zhttp://digilib.unila.ac.id/id/eprint/57357This item is in the repository with the URL: http://digilib.unila.ac.id/id/eprint/573572022-04-01T06:06:00ZANALISIS DAYA SAING DAN KINERJA EKSPOR
MINYAK KELAPA SAWIT INDONESIA
This study aims to analyze: (1) the competitiveness of Indonesian palm oil among
competing countries; (2) the performance of Indonesian palm oil exports in the
international market; (3) and the factors that affect the volume of exports of
Indonesian palm oil to the international market. The Indonesian palm oil studied
consist of CPO (Crude Palm Oil) and OPO (Other Palm Oil). The analytical
methods used are (1) Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) index and Trade
Specialization Index (ISP); (2) Constant Market Share (CMS), and (3) Error
Correction Model (ECM) analysis. The results of the RCA analysis indicate that
the level of competitiveness of Indonesian CPO was the highest among countries
in Malaysia, Colombia and Thailand. Indonesia's OPO power level was the
second highest after Malaysia. The trade specialization index shows that
Indonesian CPO was at the stage of net exporters and Indonesia's OPO was at the
stage of expanding exports. The results of the CMS analysis show that the
performance of Indonesian CPO exports in the international market tends to
decline compared to the growth of exports of all world products. While the
performance of Indonesia's OPO exports in the international market tends to
increase compared to the growth of exports of all world products. Estimation
results of ECM analysis on the appearance of Indonesian CPO exports to India
show that in the long term and short term changes in international prices of palm
oil, Indian GDP, Indonesian RCA CPO values, and export taxes affect the
changes in the volume of Indonesian CPO exports to India. The estimation of the
appearance of Indonesian CPO exports to the Netherlands shows that in the long
run the changes in Indonesian palm oil production, the international price of palm
oil, and the value of RCA CPO influence the change in the volume of Indonesian
CPO exports to the Netherlands. In the short term, changes in Indonesian palm oil
production, international prices of soybean oil, international prices of palm oil,
Dutch GDP, and the value of RCA CPO have an effect on changes in the volume
of Indonesian CPO exports to the Netherlands.
Keywords: CPO, competitiveness, ECM, export performance
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk : (1) menganalisis daya saing minyak kelapa sawit
Indonesia diantara negara pesaing; (2) menganalisis kinerja ekspor minyak kelapa
sawit Indonesia di pasar Internasional; (3) dan menganalisis faktor-faktor yang
mempengaruhi volume ekspor minyak kelapa sawit Indonesia ke pasar
Internasional. Minyak kelapa sawit Indonesia yang diteliti terdiri dari CPO
(Crude Palm Oil) dan OPO (Other Palm Oil). Metode analisis yang digunakan
adalah (1) indeks Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) dan Indeks
Spesialisasi Perdagangan (ISP); (2) Constant Market Share (CMS), dan (3)
analisis Error Correction Model (ECM). Hasil analisis RCA menunjukkan bahwa
tingkat daya saing CPO Indonesia merupakan yang tertinggi diantara negara
Malaysia, Colombia, dan Thailand. Tingkat daya OPO Indonesia merupakan
tertinggi kedua setelah Malaysia. Indeks spesialisasi perdagangan menunjukkan
bahwa CPO Indonesia berada pada tahap net eksportir dan OPO Indonesia berada
pada tahap perluasan ekspor. Hasil analisis CMS menunjukkan bahwa kinerja
ekspor CPO Indonesia di pasar Internasional cenderung menurun dibandingkan
dengan pertumbuhan ekspor seluruh produk dunia. Sedangkan kinerja ekspor
OPO Indonesia di pasar Internasional cenderung meningkat dibandingkan dengan
pertumbuhan ekspor seluruh produk dunia. Hasil estimasi analisis ECM terhadap
penampilan ekspor CPO Indonesia ke India menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka
panjang dan jangka pendek perubahan harga internasional minyak sawit, GDP
India, nilai RCA CPO Indonesia, dan pajak ekspor berpengaruh terhadap
perubahan volume ekspor CPO Indonesia ke India. Hasil estimasi penampilan
ekspor CPO Indonesia ke Belanda menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka panjang
perubahan produksi minyak sawit Indonesia, harga internasional minyak sawit,
dan nilai RCA CPO berpengaruh terhadap perubahan volume ekspor CPO
Indonesia ke Belanda. Dalam jangka pendek, perubahan produksi minyak sawit
Indonesia, harga internasional minyak kedelai, harga internasional min yak sawit,
GDP Belanda, dan nilai RCA CPO berpengaruh terhadap perubahan volume
ekspor CPO Indonesia ke Belanda.
Kata Kunci: CPO, daya saing, ECM, kinerja ekspor1524021003 MARIA ULFAH-