Andika Mahardika, 1011021036 (2015) ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PERMINTAAN EKSPOR INDONESIA PERIODE 2006:01-2013:12. Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Lampung.
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Abstract
ABSTRAK Penelitian ini memaparkan mengenai pengaruh instrumen moneter suku bunga kredit modal kerja dalam rangka mempengaruhi permintaan ekspor dan juga memaparkan faktor makroekonomi yang diduga mempengaruhi laju permintaan ekspor yaitu tingkat inflasi dan PDB Riil, serta variabel yang terkait dengan interaksi keuangan internasional yaitu nilai tukar atau kurs. Analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini menggunakan metode kuadrat terkecil biasa (Ordinary Least Square) pada tingkat first-difference dengan periode penelitian Januari 2006-Desember 2013. Berdasarkan hasil regresi Ordinary Least Square pada tingkat first-difference, dapat diketahui bahwa secara parsial variabel Suku Bunga Kredit Modal Kerja (SBK) dan Inflasi (IHK) memberikan pengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap permintaan ekspor Indonesia. Kurs dan Pendapatan Domestik Bruto (PDB) Riil memberikan pengaruh positif terhadap permintaan ekspor Indonesia. Kurs berpengaruh signifikan dan PDB tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap permintaan ekspor Indonesia. Berdasarkan hasil estimasi pada penelitian ini dapat diketahui bahwa secara bersama-sama dan signifikan variabel Suku Bunga Kredit Modal Kerja (SBK), Inflasi (IHK), Kurs dan PDB Riil berpengaruh terhadap Permintaan Ekspor di Indonesia. Kata Kunci : Suku Bunga Kredit Modal Kerja, Inflasi, nilai Kurs, PDB Riil, Ordinary Least Square pada tingkat first-difference. ABSTRACT This study describes the working capital loan interest rates as a monetary instrument in order to affect the demand for exports and also presented macroeconomic factors suspected to affect the rate of export demand that the rate of inflation and Real GDP, as well as the variables associated with the interaction of international finance, namely the kurs or the exchange rate. The analysis used in this study using ordinary least squares (Ordinary Least Square) at the level of first-difference the study period January 2006-December 2013. Based on the results of Ordinary Least Squares regression on the level of first-difference, it is known that partially working capital loan interest rate (SBK) and inflation (CPI) variables had a negative influence and significant on the demand for Indonesian exports. The exchange rate and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) had a positive influence on the demand for Indonesian exports. Exchange rate and GDP have a significant effect and no significant effect on demand for Indonesian exports. Based on the estimation results of this study can be seen that simultaneously and significantly variable Working Capital Interest Rate (SBK), Inflation (CPI), exchange rate and Real GDP effect on export demand in Indonesia. Keywords: Working Capital Interest Rate, Inflation, exchange rate, GDP, Ordinary Least Square at first-difference level.
| Item Type: | Other |
|---|---|
| Subjects: | H Ilmu Sosial = Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor H Ilmu Sosial = Social Sciences > HF Commerce |
| Divisions: | Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > Prodi Ekonomi Pembangunan |
| Depositing User: | 9873712 . Digilib |
| Date Deposited: | 02 Jul 2015 05:06 |
| Last Modified: | 02 Jul 2015 05:06 |
| URI: | http://digilib.unila.ac.id/id/eprint/10725 |
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